Six scenarios that could extend from the short-term into the long-term.

Link to publication

Scenarios

1. A vanishing diplomatic off-ramp.
2. The escalation option: A high-risk gamble.
3. Strategic endurance: Absorb, survive, adapt.
4. Asymmetric retaliation and a return to the shadows.
5. Regime mutation.
6. Toward a muted endgame?