European Parliament

EU capabilities in space: Scenarios for space security by 2050

Outlook to 2050 using four scenarios.

Link to publication

Contents

  1. Background
  2. Introduction
  3. Scenario planning for EU space security
  4. Possible space scenarios by 2050
  5. Policy considerations

Scenario drivers

  1. Level of weaponisation of space in the long term: low to high.
  2. EU economic growth: low to high.
AxisDriverRange
XLevel of weaponisation of space in the long termLow to high
YEU economic growthLow to high

Scenarios

  1. Inertia.
  2. Collaborative space.
  3. Strategic space race.
  4. Undefended.
2. Collaborative space3. Strategic space race
1. Inertia4. Undefended
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