Five to 10 year outlook for India using four scenarios and three to five strategic options in each scenario.

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Scenario drivers

1. Geoeconomic trends: good to bad for economic development.
2. Geopolitical competiton: managed to escalation into violent conflict.

Scenarios

1. Good times in Babylon / Get rich, die young.
2. India’s Goldilocks moment – neither too hot, nor too cold.
3. High walls, higher fences.
4. No pain, no gain.