Chatham House

How Beijing might rule the South China Sea within a decade

‘Backcasting’ from an imaginary scenario in 1935.

Link to publication

  1. Introduction
  2. The Spratly Incident
  3. The 10-Dash Line: China’s disputed claim to the South China Sea
  4. The road to 2035
  5. Cheap Chinese energy
  6. What is backcasting?
  7. How can the 2035 scenario be prevented?
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