Outlook to 2100 using six scenarios.

Link to publication

Contents

1. Introduction
2. Baseline business-as-usual scenario (BAU1): slower global potential growth in a warming
   world
3. The impacts of an energy transition scenario are highly uncertain

Scenario drivers

1. Energy transition (‘ET’): business-as-usual (‘BAU’) versus accelerated.
2. Damage curve: median versus high.
3. Carbon mitigation costs: none, slow and fast.

Scenarios

Using various combinations of the above drivers:

1. BAU1.
2. BAU2.
3. ET1.
4. ET2.
5. ET3.
6. ET4.