Tool to generate long-term outlooks using seven scenarios for three types of institution, 13 sectors, nine underwriting classes and 11 countries/regions.

Link to tool

Types of institution

1. Bank.
2. Insurance.
3. Asset manager/owner/fund.

Key drivers for scenarios

1. Physical risks (climate events): low to high.
2. Transition risks (policy impacts): low to high.

Scenarios

Seven scenarios across four quadrants:

1. Orderly.
   • Below 2°C.
   • Net zero 2050 (1.5°C).
   • Low demand.
2. Disorderly.
   • Delayed transition.
3. Hot house world.
   • Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).
   • Current policies.
4. Too little too late.
   • Fragmented world.

Sectors

1. Agriculture.
2. Construction.
3. Consumer products.
4. Financial services.
5. Manufacturing.
6. Mining.
7. Mortgages.
8. Oil and gas.
9. Real estate.
10. Telecommunications.
11. Transport.
12. Unsecured retail lending.
13. Utilities.

Underwriting classes

1. Aviation.
2. Casualty.
3. Energy.
4. Health.
5. Life protection.
6. Marine.
7. Motor.
8. Property.
9. Savings and retirement.

Countries/regions

1. Brazil.
2. Canada.
3. China.
4. Europe.
5. France.
6. Germany.
7. India.
8. Italy.
9. Japan.
10. UK.
11. USA.