Stimson

Rethinking the Threat: Why China is Unlikely to Invade Taiwan

Four main considerations that make an invasion of Taiwan politically and militarily dangerous for the PRC leadership.

Link to publication

Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. P.R.C. considerations
  3. Geographic realities
  4. Amphibious operations
  5. Taiwan’s military preparations
  6. Potential international responses
  7. Measures short of war
  8. Current military realities
  9. Conclusion

Four main considerations

  1. Escalation risk.
  2. Political gamble.
  3. Economic fallout.
  4. Operational nightmare.
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