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Online Climate Scenario Narrative Tool
Tool to generate long-term outlooks using seven scenarios for three types of institution, 13 sectors, nine underwriting classes and 11 countries/ regions.
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Quantitative Climate Scenario Analysis: Case Studies
Nine case studies quantifying financial impacts using various climate scenarios.
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Seismic shifts: The reordering of global power
Potential trajectories of the global international order using four scenarios. Link to publication Contents Scenario drivers Scenarios
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Africa 2043
Outlook to 2043 for 54 countries using two main scenarios, eight sector scenarios and 19 reporting themes.
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Global Energy Perspective 2025
Outlook to 2050 using three energy transition scenarios, with seven key takeaways.
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Global Materials Perspective 2025
Outlook to 2035 for materials (primarily metals) using three energy transition scenarios and three supply scenarios across five sectors (primarily mining).
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Russia’s War in Ukraine: The Next Chapter
Four scenarios for the trajectory of the war.
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Energy Outlook 2025
Outlook to 2035 and 2050 using two scenarios: Current trajectory and Below 2°.
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How Beijing might rule the South China Sea within a decade
‘Backcasting’ from an imaginary scenario in 1935.
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Tariff Endgame
Five scenarios primarily about trade protectionism and policy uncertainty, the stance of monetary and fiscal policy and financial market conditions.
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Future of Aid 2040
Outlook to 2040 using key drivers, four scenarios and a crisis typology.
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Global long-run economic scenarios
Outlook to 2100 using six scenarios.
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How might tariffs affect the energy transition?
Outlook to 2035 using three macroeconomic scenarios incorporating different levels of tariffs.
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Competitiveness in 2030
Outlook to 2030 using four scenarios, two key drivers and 12 sectors.
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India’s future arenas: Engines of growth and dynamism
Outlook to 2030 and 2040 using McKinsey lens of ‘arenas’: 18 industries that transform the business landscape.
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Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025
Outlook to 2040 using three scenarios, primarily for copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and rare earths.
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Scenarios That Could Define 2035
Three CSIS scenarios with remarks from internal/external commentators. Link to publication Scenarios
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India in the Evolving Geopolitics of Asia: Four Scenarios and Strategic Options
Five to 10 year outlook for India using four scenarios and three to five strategic options in each scenario.
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The Evolving Dynamics of China’s Middle East and North Africa Strategy
Outlook to 2040 using four scenarios. Link to publication Contents Key drivers for scenarios Scenarios
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Near-term climate scenarios for central banks and supervisors
Five-year horizon using a baseline and four scenarios with datasets for analysing the impacts of climate events and policies on financial stability.
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In a moment of tariffs, can the world find balance and trust to thrive?
Outlook to 2035 using five macroeconomic scenarios and three tariff scenarios.
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Value in motion
Three scenarios mapping 17 industries/sectors in 2023 (US$105 trillion) to 10 ‘domains’ in 2035 (baseline US$133 trillion).
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EU capabilities in space: Scenarios for space security by 2050
Outlook to 2050 using four scenarios.
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The Global 50
50 opportunities for future growth, prosperity and well-being, using 10 megatrends, five categories and four scenarios.
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Thinking Through Protracted War with China: Nine Scenarios
Envisaging different types of drawn-out war between the USA and China.
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2025 Energy Security Scenarios
Outlook to 2050 using three scenarios: Horizon, Surge and Archipelagos.
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Three Worlds in 2035
Three scenarios for the world’s transformation over the next decade.
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Productivity in 2030
Outlook to 2030 using four scenarios, two drivers (geopolitics and regulations) and 12 sectors.
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World Oil Outlook 2050
The outlook uses primarily a ‘reference case’ but also incorporates two other scenarios.
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Long-Term Forecast for Cement and Clinker Demand
Outlook to 2035 and 2050 using three scenarios. Link to publication ‘Clinker‘ is a key component of cement, produced by sintering (fusing) limestone with other materials, an energy-intensive process. Contents […]
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Long-term climate scenarios for central banks and supervisors
Outlook to 2050 using seven climate scenarios across four quadrants.
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Global Resources Outlook 2024
Outlook to 2060 for land, water and materials (biomass, fossil fuels, metals and nonmetallic minerals), using two scenarios.
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Global Waste Management Outlook 2024
Outlook to 2050 using three scenarios: Waste management as usual, Waste under control and Circular economy.
