The Impact of Migration on UK Population Growth

Outlook to 2047 with three scenarios, using the UK’s Office for National Statistics figures.

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Scenarios

From a 2022 baseline, with a 67.6 million UK population:

  1. High: annual net migration of 525,000 from 2028. UK population in 2046: 80.9 million.
  2. Principle: annual net migration of 340,000 from 2028. UK population in 2046: 76.3 million.
  3. Low: annual net migration of 120,000 from 2028. UK population in 2046: 70.9 million.

Net migration in the year to June 2023 was 874,000.